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Sep 23, 2012
09/12
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. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you make of that? >> you can play lots of games with waiting. vidone it myself. but we have to take these polls as a whole, the polling averages. people ask me, what's the best poll? i always say, none of them. take the polling averages at real clear politics or pollster.com and when you take the averages i don't see what dick is projecting to be reality. maybe that will eventually happen. but it is not there yet. >> steve, larry mentioned this hiewmg gap in women voters -- why? what do you make of that? >> there is always a gender gap. the question is, and i think that dr. sabba
. >> let me read to you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you...
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Sep 22, 2012
09/12
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. >> okay, dick morris. >> all bets are that she will be gone most say she is done as sifs. susan rice, she is the one who came out. is there a fracture here is there another important question here. regardless of that were the american people lied to? is this an evolution gathering the facts on this and evolving throughout the week or were the american people lied to initially told spontaneous reaction told anti-islam film. >> third whether or not it's a terrorist attack would we provide the same response you would after the coal bombing or would you provide a different response like after september 11th in afghanistan? lt. colonel tony shaffer on what sort of military course we should be taking. listen to his response. >> right now we have got to look at how to get inside this network because clearly here this met work is reestablished itself globally. we have to get these intelligence officers back out there doing hard stuff. a the love the intelligence officers were told sit on their hands and don't do anything too provocative because they are all our friends now. they a
. >> okay, dick morris. >> all bets are that she will be gone most say she is done as sifs. susan rice, she is the one who came out. is there a fracture here is there another important question here. regardless of that were the american people lied to? is this an evolution gathering the facts on this and evolving throughout the week or were the american people lied to initially told spontaneous reaction told anti-islam film. >> third whether or not it's a terrorist attack...
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Sep 21, 2012
09/12
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. >> dick morris, author of the new book "here come the black helicopters" joins us. nice to see you, dick. >> nice to be here. >> i have been look at your twitter count and i see discussion about the 47 and also the issue about redistribution. i'm curious, the redistribution is not particularly new, was not particularly effective in '08, why do you think it's a good strategy against the president in 2012? >> i think it was effective in '08. mccain lost but he gained probably five or six points after joe, the plumber. but it's also important because it's exactly what is going on right now. obama is advocating a massive national income redistribution. not only within the united states, my new book that you mentioned, here come the black helicopters, u.n. global governance and the lack of freedom talks about treatise he's pushing which is taxing american oil wells offshore, billionaires throughout the world and using that money to go to the third world. going past foreign aid and actually taxing the united states internationally to give the money to the third world. tha
. >> dick morris, author of the new book "here come the black helicopters" joins us. nice to see you, dick. >> nice to be here. >> i have been look at your twitter count and i see discussion about the 47 and also the issue about redistribution. i'm curious, the redistribution is not particularly new, was not particularly effective in '08, why do you think it's a good strategy against the president in 2012? >> i think it was effective in '08. mccain lost but he...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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megyn: do you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll?
megyn: do you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the models they are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of 6-sevenpoints >> chris: that's the key. if they are using the metric where there are six or sevenmore percent they tend to win the poles. they are taking rasmussen metric and they and pew were closest to being right. and they analyzed the data and according to these folks, mitt romney has 5-11 percent in all of the other polls. ing interesting. >> gretchen: if you are conducting polls why not split it 50-50. why would you skew it. >> steve: rasmussen figured out in the latest poll. 30.67 percent of the country considers them republican.
dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the...
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Sep 20, 2012
09/12
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we agree with dick morris when he said the undecided vote to break a candidate. the president has had a good week, but by the end of these debates people will ask themselves, are you better off now than you were four years ago? does this president is service second term? we do not think he does. we think we are -- does this president deserve a second term? we do not think he does. as we can this, we talked to a lot of voters who were for the president last time and will not be again. >> tim burke, let me ask you about the economics of hamilton county. how was it doing? what is the unemployment rate, and what impact will that have on overall results in november? >> let me speak to ohio in general, as alex just did. i think the reason president obama is doing so well -- the biggest one may be the of the rescue. 750,000 jobs in ohio -- many right here in southwest ohio -- depend on the auto industry. the fact that has come back as strongly as it has has ohio doing better than the national economy is doing. just yesterday we had president obama here. the individual w
we agree with dick morris when he said the undecided vote to break a candidate. the president has had a good week, but by the end of these debates people will ask themselves, are you better off now than you were four years ago? does this president is service second term? we do not think he does. we think we are -- does this president deserve a second term? we do not think he does. as we can this, we talked to a lot of voters who were for the president last time and will not be again. >>...